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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17673

Pro Palazzolo VS Nibbiano & Valtidone

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.27%
Draw
33.73%
Away
33.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6734
Log loss
1.1087

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
f0935a92603dedee56f05bf80360b18ca9ec91158772921e83330d5d328dfcdc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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