Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #176558

Slovan Liberec II VS Horní Ředice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.14%
Draw
21.11%
Away
21.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2756
Log loss
0.5597

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
1e6c63ab5a073f03b4e8c333de2d086a666aa30c23c0d7d94c51c28b29f9b091

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →