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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17645

Inter U23 VS Foggia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.59%
Draw
30.86%
Away
29.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5475
Log loss
0.9266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
25953b5af6a71cdb10c65dbba11793ee0f5262777840b562bf816ae63539bd60

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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