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Frozen pre-match forecast · #176335

Gurten VS Wohnbau Dietach

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.81%
Draw
17.28%
Away
8.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1064
Log loss
0.3037

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
cb26d61b06bccfb2732a5dfd57b40c0b0436a5ca0e80a21ae51b3d9709143290

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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