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Frozen pre-match forecast · #176297

Hvězda Cheb VS Karlovy Vary

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.91%
Draw
17.69%
Away
63.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2010
Log loss
0.4557

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
1d252821fd343d61bb20ea78dc4318b958f007e0d45ac357d73a133454ac1236

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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