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Frozen pre-match forecast · #176255

Bodø / Glimt W VS Haugesund W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.79%
Draw
13.52%
Away
76.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0822
Log loss
0.2654

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
b33fa3c1b46c071f106912bf4a333d0f9cd74bc7fe9b7a5005d808a7f99021f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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