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Frozen pre-match forecast · #176123

Fakirerpool VS Rahmatgonj MFS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 08:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.30%
Draw
24.21%
Away
52.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3386
Log loss
0.6445

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
3abaeab11d9bc2bf29d9eb4dccda288cd50702a6454aa4f3d57858564b56f332

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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