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Frozen pre-match forecast · #176110

Bangkapi VS PTS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.03%
Draw
21.33%
Away
27.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3617
Log loss
0.6728

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
e45fbb5c00856ae76001cb3a9eb8ba3e1c88234abc61228dbcdefa89a6351fec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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