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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17608

RUS Binche VS Aywaille

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.07%
Draw
26.67%
Away
12.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9257
Log loss
1.3216

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
7cc042b765316811f84d5f61e9be5fa5c036d2ed4106faa35246c00de90163a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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