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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175802

Stade Gabesien VS Korba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 02:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.77%
Draw
29.48%
Away
21.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7825
Log loss
1.2216

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 02:03 UTC
SHA-256
fd5c6d0b11fe8918ab02e25908fbd6e7dbac68afc0c1185c26656eebe932959c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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