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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175693

Cardiff VS West Ham

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.18%
Draw
23.03%
Away
47.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
519d90dc7d7de89f4ced897c82e43ace53b8af5db310b77ad8df3f6b4ba70f3b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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