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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175642

Al-Gharafa B VS UMM Salal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.50%
Draw
22.93%
Away
56.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
3517ad828eca9a7ffc370b4a3f69eb32f596cff164e8582f78035e55cbc31342

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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