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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175602

Slavia Praha U19 VS Arsenal U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.74%
Draw
21.25%
Away
29.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3819
Log loss
0.6984

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
99bb045fdd5e8e8753cc0b084647af5769fc72f762ee26202c431f50bdcf5a21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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