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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175586

Olympic Star VS Flambeau du Centre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.10%
Draw
28.12%
Away
28.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4857
Log loss
0.8416

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
8f2fd06c78f67837e86b4e12e757b9493fbe0e37a1f25e5afc0fa902e7df2944

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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