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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175534

April W VS Hồ Chí Minh City W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 10:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.53%
Draw
8.89%
Away
5.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0320
Log loss
0.1563

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 10:01 UTC
SHA-256
83d33946a1f9c871ab66c68ca5b8ffda692716d508eb732c34d62da455635edd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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