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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175503

Amal Tiznit VS CODM Meknès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.81%
Draw
26.34%
Away
54.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3086
Log loss
0.6006

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
3011f5cad2e06467af5733779acd1b076c0ea791a41c2bdd16b9e6cfffcfec4a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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