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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175484

ASM Oran VS Sidi Benali

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.78%
Draw
20.65%
Away
10.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1139
Log loss
1.5775

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
e408cf634d6554b2e66b858b4bc4c39c53d68c10d4ec1297a2287dbe68b25b41

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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