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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175348

Borough VS Wologizi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.09%
Draw
25.27%
Away
33.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6731
Log loss
1.0895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
3f3c830f6c5e53de819cb6940d4a6966c8bf16ddb9c0b10b9c36aed590e99b96

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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