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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17533

Ha Noi VS Da Nang

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.01%
Draw
28.95%
Away
28.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7685
Log loss
1.2397

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
3fc5cdf0f9b292ca98e620921242a05c60c814cd7ade5a4bfb74628b95a0901c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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