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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175274

Csikszereda VS Bihor Oradea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.46%
Draw
24.53%
Away
38.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5848
Log loss
0.9673

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
e3511dbd342082f2ff5cb0e34949a6c53cf1f08013a2134e1630f359544a7156

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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