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Frozen pre-match forecast · #175042

Ratchaburi VS Kashiwa Reysol

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.64%
Draw
23.03%
Away
54.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9389
Log loss
1.4684

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
9992e1160771106daca1b71393684d369d70a492ce5f4335da9a83cafcd5ae01

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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