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Frozen pre-match forecast · #174980

Viimsi VS Flora II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.24%
Draw
21.88%
Away
23.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9615
Log loss
1.5196

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
f6c5c1a42e24b70f87e10f2ee4a1b3e283b3185aa2943ca3c8f0061c58d71c86

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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