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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17486

Yverdon Sport VS Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.20%
Draw
35.13%
Away
30.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6318
Log loss
1.0461

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
739c27f7ca6f8f33065253275f951dfabf1fee4713b73190413de4ef8a0e72f9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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