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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17484

Aalborg VS Vendsyssel FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.11%
Draw
40.98%
Away
18.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5450
Log loss
0.8921

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
b52be9acc25c4b200802f86e8e3df94a38b666087c5ce5d3329c5af431d0c3cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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