Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #174834

OFI VS PAOK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.71%
Draw
23.69%
Away
55.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9939
Log loss
1.5746

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
e5d7b1d32fe4ea1c5942f7d45cd714f6376873363348024cb1689021cb66fc9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →