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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17481

Odishi 1919 VS Telavi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.57%
Draw
36.69%
Away
35.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6046
Log loss
1.0027

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
2cb0f8f984cf969c95d9e47a2efccb3c481f6f2f38cbf47c03fc9566529471f8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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