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Frozen pre-match forecast · #174581

Dynamo Abomey VS Buffles

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.43%
Draw
31.43%
Away
40.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7721
Log loss
1.2577

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
1c7794648aca7161514af719c1a0c84b24b5fcc26d391f16ff705425c138392e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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