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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17399

San Cristóbal VS San Juan Atletico de Montcada

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.41%
Draw
35.28%
Away
34.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7265
Log loss
1.1904

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
9c3fd2faa58783f2b7f66c103c47996f26d8cd3905088d4c6b538083432f14bc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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