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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17377

Gimnástica Torrelavega VS Bergantiños

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.65%
Draw
36.57%
Away
27.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7822
Log loss
1.2806

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
b18fe510f1112be01fae9516b0bb88d796321546af440a0d981720babca7cf75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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