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Frozen pre-match forecast · #173386

Dynamo Kyiv VS Kudrivka

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.16%
Draw
15.16%
Away
9.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0941
Log loss
0.2856

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
d25d330f5bad408c8ed426f3943fd84ca40eeb4ac3a7c0e9c4fdfb8e62741562

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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