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Frozen pre-match forecast · #173284

Brora Rangers VS Cowdenbeath

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.77%
Draw
21.99%
Away
22.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9690
Log loss
1.5145

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
341fa5618effefc54d1191a2aad03a2c71e207a2fbec0aea50230ba7507d0cca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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