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Frozen pre-match forecast · #173261

Enfield Town VS Hanworth Villa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.19%
Draw
23.19%
Away
36.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5455
Log loss
0.9115

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
abf03af1204ed03c0721517e2a5b7e2e5d7ae5c77b2a10c73d7aa9fb693c2950

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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