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Frozen pre-match forecast · #173258

Deal Town VS Hashtag United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.33%
Draw
23.16%
Away
28.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
0f87d4afc1a2ceaaf5c261eed408234507598519ce24e5f6a7c8d57f9d330e4d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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