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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17323

Trenčín II VS Veľké Ludince

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.29%
Draw
32.78%
Away
35.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7087
Log loss
1.1619

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
936f7246853ffa4695fc234c34aa30432349d31e6de94c3c878f5d5b6adb1dcb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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