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Frozen pre-match forecast · #172622

AB Copenhagen VS Kolding IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.48%
Draw
24.99%
Away
32.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4991
Log loss
0.8561

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
fd025be2b1d949ad01a5f218168b406a29c846661e2a96a303c01768f104574c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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