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Frozen pre-match forecast · #172376

Juventus U20 VS Lecce U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.64%
Draw
26.63%
Away
35.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5875
Log loss
0.9771

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
582e23e1606a060beaa438fdc4d81af9d1e7a0e9a0a35a1c3deba1295af2df15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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