Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #17207

Brooklyn VS FC Tulsa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.26%
Draw
29.53%
Away
37.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7457
Log loss
1.2199

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
5eb9f24305fa84a80c3a0c9949e6a36ca0b496ad7b0e5e59a870ffb095f96985

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →