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Frozen pre-match forecast · #172069

Frem VS FC Helsingor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.54%
Draw
24.27%
Away
29.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8753
Log loss
1.4159

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
5125180f8b73580e5dc79991078ade43237a1fd63f2b793e2bae0dcf83c2c924

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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