Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #171910

Brothers Union VS Abahani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 08:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.20%
Draw
20.83%
Away
64.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2017
Log loss
1.9519

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
af9309fa4b7a922799bdd2be6c7cb677b2505c6bb736c01fb04697cdb5ae7459

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →