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Frozen pre-match forecast · #171750

Real Betis VS Feyenoord

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.23%
Draw
19.60%
Away
19.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2255
Log loss
0.4905

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
d9d7d833d61d53ded4acf9dce4d30ab4a59fb7bb77dd7e176ce6be763c2c13ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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