Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #171671

Hadiya Hosaena VS Welwalo Adigrat Uni

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.23%
Draw
33.42%
Away
32.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
de0ee5d9d4ab8dfc3cc9d9342a98948b5466cb7820e1a37e1ef158f6c2ad5324

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →