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Frozen pre-match forecast · #171463

Ratchaburi VS Pattani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.60%
Draw
18.36%
Away
12.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1406
Log loss
0.3624

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
21 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
SHA-256
fcd82cf68f5136c468f7c09f5ed0c7de8906ff799a912293d430dde139c1a683

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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