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Frozen pre-match forecast · #171242

Academico Viseu U23 VS Torreense U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.30%
Draw
23.75%
Away
22.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9342
Log loss
1.4719

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
0514697542404b1d37071a79702ece4b11e7956e854b346b8504184d6cf70c11

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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