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Frozen pre-match forecast · #171230

Police VS Kitara

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.73%
Draw
28.69%
Away
42.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
73c336056c8c7a7768bbf99c55b719f9b4eba6a99352901143ad2a06c1531ef5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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