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Frozen pre-match forecast · #171087

Nyvelados VS G3X

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.86%
Draw
14.79%
Away
52.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 990-minute result
Brier score
0.3569
Log loss
0.6472

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
cfc800879bff32c9639c43d36e8ea9c198a73316f6ded2950fddac67612d290c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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