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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17107

San Miguel VS All Boys

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.19%
Draw
33.58%
Away
40.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6716
Log loss
1.0912

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
8cdd00233e317c31c8e3688da19de78d4e708628193993d1c483874c6c26646c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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