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Frozen pre-match forecast · #170933

Boulogne VS Reims

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.38%
Draw
27.11%
Away
49.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
aa6ea89e95181fea8247b90301ffbd708f45b65266af02c370bc3ee7f96404bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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