Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #170911

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia Nicosia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.32%
Draw
27.85%
Away
41.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0ba2446cf12ea5d6e1f834df812bc13267ac1e23e111a2406fd51a127d501cbf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →