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Frozen pre-match forecast · #170885

Al Bukayriyah VS Hajer

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.29%
Draw
26.60%
Away
46.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8120
Log loss
1.2986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
20 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
009fc48e2bed92a45a39ebf506fd8fdd96461883f94e7e155061e9d4283e047b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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