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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17047

Jette VS Stade Verviers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.23%
Draw
29.57%
Away
32.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7459
Log loss
1.2184

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
22db9ee8b25d890f641c858b484923f74e7d7ce8cb61f1e49bed885a1e9266e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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